So far there have been 197 matches played, 137 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 69.5%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games ...

Here are the predictions for Week 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...

Here are the predictions for Round 25. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Next, though, the purple and green lines are quite close together compared to the scale of year-to-year change even when there isn’t a pandemic. On the other hand, people do actually care about ...

Complicated interventions benefit from pilot studies, where you try to implement the intervention and see how feasible it is. These are not designed as evaluations of how good the intervention is; ...

Here are the predictions for Round 23. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team ...