Hurricane models are showing increasingly high chances that a tropical cyclone could form somewhere in the western Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico as early as next week, and forecasters are encouraging Gulf Coast residents to stay vigilant through the remainder of the 2024 season.

The GFS and the EURO Hurricane Models are showing possible development in the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

For now, it has a low chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm. However, longer range models spin up a hurricane in about a week.

More than 12% of crude production and 16% of natural gas output in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were offline in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine, the U.S. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) said on Monday.

As tropical activity in the Atlantic Ocean quiets down again, attention is shifting back to the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, where the National Hurricane Center is now officially monitoring the area for tropical development.

The National Hurricane Center has started monitoring a broad area of low pressure that could form in the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

The behaviors that could put your family at risk this hurricane season ” Tropics threats for Jacksonville/NE Florida/SE Georgia: No direct impacts from tropical systems this week but minor to moderate tidal flooding will continue along the St.