The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine are private, nonprofit institutions that provide expert advice on some of the most pressing challenges facing the nation and world. Our ...

Basic statistics textbooks invariably introduce the topic of prediction in the context of simple regression for the bivariate normal model. It seems more appropriate, however, to introduce the topic ...

We all have the habit of trying to guess the killer in a movie before the big reveal. That’s us making inferences. It’s what happens when your brain connects the dots without being told everything ...

Businesses of a certain size that measure clicks, sensor readings, and other event-driven data produce datasets that can exceed millions or even billions of records. It’s no easy feat implementing a ...

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Statistical Methodology), Vol. 70, No. 4 (Sep., 2008), pp. 703-723 (21 pages) In longitudinal data analysis one frequently encounters non-Gaussian ...